Energy Blue Print
Scenarios for a future energy supply

The Reference scenario and the Energy [R]evolution scenario are based on the same projections of population and economic development. The future development of energy intensity, however, differs between the reference and the alternative case, taking into account the measures to increase energy efficiency under the Energy [R]evolution scenario.

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future employment in the energy sector

The Energy [R]evolution scenario results in more energy sector jobs in the OECD Americas at every stage of the projection.

  • There are 2 million energy sector jobs in the Energy [R]evolution scenario in 2015, and 1.4 million in the Reference scenario.
  • In 2020, there are 2.1 million jobs in the Energy [R]evolution scenario, and 1.4 million in the Reference scenario.
  • In 2030, there are 1.8 million jobs in the Energy [R]evolution scenario and 1.4 million in the Reference scenario.

Figure 5.27 shows the change in job numbers under both scenarios for each technology between 2010 and 2030. Jobs in the coal sector decline in both scenarios, leading to a small decline in overall energy jobs in the Reference scenario.

Strong growth in the renewable sector leads to an increase of 44% in total energy sector jobs in the [R]evolution scenario by 2015. At 2030, jobs are 29% above 2010 levels. Renewable energy accounts for 67% of energy jobs by 2030, with the majority spread evenly over wind, solar PV, solar heating, and biomass.