Energy Blue Print
Scenarios for a future energy supply

The Reference scenario and the Energy [R]evolution scenario are based on the same projections of population and economic development. The future development of energy intensity, however, differs between the reference and the alternative case, taking into account the measures to increase energy efficiency under the Energy [R]evolution scenario.

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development of CO2 emissions

Whilst the OECD North America’s emissions of CO2 will decrease by 2% under the Reference scenario, under the Energy [R]evolution scenario they will decrease from 6,119 million tonnes in 2009 to 204 million tonnes in 2050. Annual per capita emissions will fall from 13.4 tonne (2009) to 0.3 tonne (2050). In the long run efficiency gains and the increased use of renewable electricity in vehicles will even reduce emissions in the transport sector. With a share of 42% of total CO2 in 2050, the transport sector will remain the largest sources of emissions. By 2050, OECD North America’s CO2 emissions are 4% of 1990 levels.