In the transport sector, it is assumed under the Energy [R]evolution scenario compared to the Refence scenario an energy demand reduction of 8,160 PJ/a or 66% can be achieved by 2050. Energy demand will therefore decrease between 2009 and 2050 by 11% to 4,140 PJ/a (including energy for pipeline transport). This reduction can be achieved by the introduction of highly efficient vehicles, by shifting the transport of goods from road to rail and by changes in mobility-related behaviour patterns. Implementing a mix of increased public transport as attractive alternatives to individual cars, the car stock is growing slower and annual person kilometres are lower than in the Reference scenario.
A shift towards smaller cars triggered by economic incentives together with a significant shift in propulsion technology towards electrified power trains and a reduction of vehicle kilometres travelled per year leads to significant energy savings. In 2030, electricity will provide 9% of the transport sector’s total energy demand in the Energy [R]evolution, while in 2050 the share will be 41%.