Energy Blue Print
Scenarios for a future energy supply

Moving from principles to action for energy supply that mitigates against climate change requires a long-term perspective. Energy infrastructure takes time to build up; new energy technologies take time to develop. Policy shifts often also need many years to take effect. In most world regions the transformation from fossil to renewable energies will require additional investment and higher supply costs over about twenty years

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5.4 future investments in the power sector

It would require € 101 billion in investment for the Energy [R] evolution scenario to become reality (including investments for replacement after the economic lifetime of the plants) - approximately € 2.5 billion annual or € 24 billion more than in the Reference scenario (€ 77 billion). U nder the Reference version, the levels of investment in conventional power plants add up to almost 24% while approximately 76% would be invested in renewable energy and cogeneration (CHP) until 2050.

Under the Energy [R]evolution scenario, however, Romania would shift almost 97% of the entire investment towards renewables and cogeneration. Until 2030, the fossil fuel share of power sector investment would be focused mainly on CHP plants.

Because renewable energy has no fuel costs, however, the fuel cost savings in the Energy [R]evolution scenario reach a total of € 18 billion up to 2050, or € 0.5 billion per year. The total fuel cost savings therefore would cover 76% of the total additional investments compared to the R eference scenario. These renewable energy sources would then go on to produce electricity without any further fuel costs beyond 2050, while the costs for coal and gas will continue to be a burden on national economies.