In the transport sector, it is assumed under the Energy [R]evolution scenario that an energy demand reduction of 840 PJ/a can be achieved by 2050, saving 45% compared to the Reference scenario. This reduction can be achieved by the introduction of highly efficient vehicles, by shifting the transport of goods from roa by changes in mobility-related behaviour patterns. Implementing attractive alternatives to individual cars, the car stock is growing slower than in the Reference scenario.
A shift towards smaller cars triggered by economic incentives together with a significant shift in propulsion technology towards electrified power trains and a reduction of vehicle kilometres travelled by 0.25% per year leads to significant final energy savings. In 2030, electricity will provide 9% of the transport sector’s total energy demand in the Energy [R]evolution, while in the Advanced case the share will be 16% in 2030 and 67% by 2050.