5.8 development of CO2 emissions
Whilst Mexico’s emissions of CO2 will more than double between 2009 and 2050 under the Reference scenario, under the Energy [R]evolution scenario they will decrease from 429 million tonnes in 2009 to 62 million tonnes in 2050 Annual per capita emissions will drop from 3.8 tonnes to 0.4 tonnes. In spite of the phasing out of nuclear energy and increasing demand, CO2 emissions will decrease in the electricity sector. In the long run efficiency gains and the increased use of renewable in vehicles will reduce emissions in the transport sector. With a share of 42% of CO2, the transport sector will be the largest sources of emissions in 2050. By 2050, Mexico’s CO2 emissions are 86% below 1990 levels.