Energy Blue Print
Scenarios for a future energy supply

Moving from principles to action for energy supply that mitigates against climate change requires a long-term perspective. Energy infrastructure takes time to build up; new energy technologies take time to develop. Policy shifts often also need many years to take effect. In most world regions the transformation from fossil to renewable energies will require additional investment and higher supply costs over about twenty years

download the report Netherlands 2013

5.2 electricity generation

The development of the electricity supply sector is characterised by a dynamically growing renewable energy market and an increasing share of renewable electricity.This will compensate for the phasing out of nuclear energy and reduce the number of fossil fuel-fired power plants required for grid stabilisation. By 2050, 78% of the electricity produced in the Netherlands will come from renewable energy sources. Already by 2020, the share of renewable electricity production will be 44% and 58% by 2030. The installed capacity of renewables, mainly wind and PV, will reach 42 GW in 2030 and 70 GW by 2050.

Table 5.1 shows the comparative evolution of the different renewable technologies in the Netherlands over time. Already by 2020 wind and PV become the main contributors of the growing market share. After 2020, the continuing growth of wind and PV will continue to dominate the renewable technology mix.The Energy [R]evolution scenario will lead to a high share of fluctuating power generation sources (photovoltaic, wind and ocean) of 50% by 2030, therefore the expansion of smart grids, demand side management (DSM) and storage capacity e.g. from the increased share of electric vehicles will be used for a better grid integration and power generation management.