Despite a huge growth in services, the increase in energy consumption in the transport sector by 2050 can be limited to 19% under the Energy [R]evolution Scenario. Current 90% dependency on fossil fuels is transformed into a 30% contribution from bio fuels and 22% from electricity. The market for cars will grow by a factor of five less than in the Reference Scenario. Measures are taken to keep the car sales split by segment like its present breakdown, with one third represented by medium-sized vehicles and more than half by small vehicles. Technological progress increases the share of hybrid vehicles to 65% in 2050. Incentives to use more efficient transport modes reduces vehicle kilometre travelled to in average 11.000 km per annum.
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